Tech Leaders Are Revising Their AI Jobs Predictions. Here's What the Data Actually Shows.
Sam Altman says he's 'delighted to be wrong.' Dario Amodei has quietly reframed his warnings. But what does the employment data actually tell us — and should developers believe the new narrative?
In May 2026, Sam Altman told an audience in Sydney he was 'pretty wrong' about AI eliminating entry-level jobs. Dario Amodei, who once predicted 50% of white-collar roles would vanish in five years, has shifted to calling AI a 'productivity multiplier.' The Yale Budget Lab, BLS, and Brookings all have data. Here's what it actually says.